Nekrasova Anastasia K.

Education:

2008 – Ph. D. in Physical and Mathematical Sciences (Geophysics), M.V. Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russian Federation;

1993 – M.Sc. in Geophysics. M.V. Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russian Federation.

Experience:

2022 – present: Leading Scientist, Laboratory “Theory of Earthquake Prediction and Georisks”, Institution of Russian Academy of Sciences Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics (IEPT RAS), Moscow;

1991 – 2013: Researcher, Laboratory “Theory of Earthquake Prediction”, Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow.

Skills & Interests:

Research interests are ranging from the analysis of spatio-temporal characteristics of seismicity (earthquake occurrence, temporal evolution and space-time correlation) to the implications for seismic hazard assessment, with special attention to issues related to testing and validation of the applied methodologies. Main scientific contributions are related with analysis of global and regional earthquake catalogs, analysis of seismicity and its evolution and correlation at various space and time scales, operational and validation the analysis based on the Unified scaling law for earthquakes; development of an integrated operational procedure for the time-dependent neo-deterministic seismic hazard assessment, based on the Unified scaling law for earthquakes, study of seasonal modulation of seismic activity.

Identifiers in citation databases:

Scopus: 12240595700
ORCID: 0000-0003-1639-1088
ResearchGate: A. К Nekrasova

Articles in scientific journals (peer-reviewed publications), 2021-present

  • Filippova A., Fomochkina A., Kossobokov V., Nekrasova A. Characterizing the foreshock, main shock, and aftershock sequences of the recent major earthquakes in Southern Alaska, 2020–2024 // Frontiers in Earth Science. 2025. V. 13. 1660221. DOI:10.3389/feart.2025.1660221 (SJR Q2)
  • Baranov S.V., Vinberg F.E., Vladimirova I.S., Vorobieva I.A., Kossobokov V.G., Krushelnitskii K.V., Matochkina S.D., Nekrasova A.K., Steblov G.M., Filippova A.I., Fomochkina A.S., Shebalin P.N. Forecast of Seismic and Geodynamic Settings before and after the Earthquake of March 28, 2025, M7.7, in Myanmar // Doklady Earth Sciences. 2025. V. 523. No. 2. 32. DOI:10.1134/S1028334X25607436 (SJR Q3)
  • Podolskaia E.S., Nekrasova A.K., Prokhorova T.V., Selyutskaya O.V. Russian Scientific Experience of Using Web-based Geoinformation Systems in Seismology // Russian Journal of Earth Sciences. 2025. V. 25. ES5026. DOI:10.2205/2025ES001035 (SJR Q4)
  • Nekrasova A., Danabayeva A., Katubayeva A. Exploring the Gravitational Impact of Spring Tides on Earthquake Occurrence in Central Asia // Seismological Research Letters. 2025. V. 96. No. 3. P. 1925–1936. DOI:10.1785/0220240335 (SJR Q1)
  • Agayan A.S., Nekrasova A.K. Analysis of Spatial Clustering of Seismic Events in the Northwest Pacific Ocean // Izvestiya, Physics of the Solid Earth. 2024. V. 60. No. 5. P. 795–805. DOI:10.1134/S1069351324700733 (SJR Q3)
  • Nekrasova A.K., Agayan A.S., Kossobokov V.G. Analysis of Spatial Clustering of Seismic Events Using DPS Topological Filtering Algorithm: Baikal Region // Izvestiya, Physics of the Solid Earth. 2024. V. 60. No. 2. P. 200–213. DOI:10.1134/S1069351324700319 (SJR Q3)
  • Nekrasova A., Podolskaia E., Kossobokov V. Regional seismic risk assessment based on the Unified Scaling Law for Earthquakes: The Lake Baikal railway system // Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering. 2024. V. 177. 108402. DOI:10.1016/j.soildyn.2023.108402 (SJR Q1)
  • Nekrasova A., Kossobokov V. Seismic risk assessment for the infrastructure in the regions adjacent to the Russian Federation Baikal–Amur Mainline based on the Unified Scaling Law for Earthquakes // Natural Hazards. 2023. V. 116. P. 1995–2010. DOI:10.1007/s11069-022-05750-9 (SJR Q1)
  • Kossobokov V.G., Nekrasova A.K., Schepalina P.D. Seismic Dynamics in Advance of and After the Largest Earthquakes, 1985–2020 // Surveys in Geophysics. 2022. V. 43. P. 423–436. DOI:10.1007/s10712-021-09674-0 (SJR Q1)
  • Ismail‑Zadeh A., Kijko A., Nekrasova A., Shebalin P. Guest Editorial: Special Issue on “Lithosphere Dynamics and Earthquake Hazard Forecasting” // Surveys in Geophysics. 2022. V. 43. No. 2. P. 347–351. DOI:10.1007/s10712-022-09711-6 (SJR Q1)
  • Nekrasova A., Peresan A. Unified Scaling Law for Earthquakes: space-time dependent assessment in Friuli-Venezia Giulia region // Frontiers in Earth Science. 2021. V. 8. 590724. DOI:10.3389/feart.2020.590724 (SJR Q1)

Selected papers and book chapters, before 2021

  • Nekrasova A.K., Kossobokov V.G. The Unified Scaling Law for Earthquakes // Journal of Volcanology and Seismology. 2020. V. 14. No. 6. P. 353–372. DOI:10.1134/S0742046320060056 (SJR Q3)
  • Bukchin B.G., Fomochkina A.S., Kossobokov V.G., Nekrasova A.K. Characterizing the Foreshock, Main Shock, and Aftershock Sequences of the Recent Major Earthquakes in Southern Alaska, 2016–2018 // Frontiers in Earth Science. 2020. V. 8. 584659. DOI:10.3389/feart.2020.584659 (SJR Q1)
  • Nekrasova A.K., Kossobokov V.G., Parvez I.A., Tao X. Unified Scaling Law for Earthquakes as Applied to Assessment of Seismic Hazard and Associate Risks // Izvestiya, Physics of the Solid Earth. 2020. V. 56. No. 1. P. 83–94. DOI: 10.1134/S1069351320010097 (SJR Q3)
  • Kossobokov V.G., Nekrasova A.K. Aftershock Sequences of the Recent Major Earthquakes in New Zealand // Pure and Applied Geophysics. 2019. V. 176. No. 1. P. 1–23. DOI:10.1007/s00024-018-2071-y (SJR Q3)
  • Kossobokov V.G., Nekrasova A.K. Earthquake hazard and risk assessment based on unified scaling law for earthquakes: Altai–Sayan Region // Natural Hazards. 2018. V. 93. No. 3. P. 1435–1449. DOI:10.1007/s11069-018-3359-z
  • Parvez I.A., Nekrasova A., Kossobokov V. Seismic hazard and risk assessment based on Unified Scaling Law for Earthquakes: thirteen principal urban agglomerations of India // Natural Hazards. 2018. V. 92. No. 3. P. 1509–1522. DOI:10.1007/s11069-018-3261-8
  • Kossobokov V.G., Nekrasova A.K. Characterizing aftershock sequences of the recent Strong earthquakes in Central Italy // Pure and Applied Geophysics. 2017. V. 174. No. 10. P. 3713–3723. DOI:10.1007/s00024-017-1624-9
  • Parvez I.A., Nekrasova A., Kossobokov V. Earthquake hazard and risk assessment based on Unified Scaling Law for Earthquakes: State of Gujarat, India // Pure and Applied Geophysics. 2017. V. 174. No. 3. P. 1441–1452. DOI:10.1007/s00024-017-1475-4
  • Nekrasova A., Kossobokov V., Tao X., Tao Z., Wang L. Spatial pattern of seismicity in Central China recognized by USLE // World Information on Earthquake Engineering. 2016. V. 32. № 2. P. 170–175 (in Chinese).
  • Nekrasova A., Peresan A., Kossobokov V.G., Panza G.F. Chapter 7: A new probabilistic shift away from seismic hazard reality in Italy? // Nonlinear Mathematical Physics and Natural Hazards, Springer Proceedings in Physics (V. 163) / B. Aneva, M. Kouteva-Guentcheva (eds). Springer, 2015. P. 83–103. DOI:10.1007/978-3-319-14328-6_7
  • Nekrasova A., Kossobokov V., Parvez I.A., Tao X. Seismic hazard and risk assessment based on the unified scaling law for earthquakes // Acta Geodaetica et Geophysica. 2015. V. 50. No. 1. P. 21–37. DOI:10.1007/s40328-014-0082-4
  • Panza G.F., Kossobokov V., Peresan A., Nekrasova A. Chapter 12. Why are the standard probabilistic methods of estimating seismic hazard and risks too often wrong? // Earthquake Hazard, Risk, and Disasters / M. Wyss, J. Shroder (eds). London: Elsevier, 2014. P. 309–357. DOI:10.1016/B978-0-12-394848-9.00012-2
  • Nekrasova A., Kossobokov V., Peresan A., Magrin A. The comparison of the NDSHA, PSHA seismic hazard maps and real seismicity for the Italian territory // Natural Hazards. 2014. V. 70. No. 1. P. 629–641. DOI:10.1007/s11069-013-0832-6
  • Parvez I.A., Nekrasova A., Kossobokov V. Estimation of seismic hazard and risks for the Himalayas and surrounding regions based on Unified Scaling Law for Earthquakes // Natural Hazards. 2014. V. 71. No. 1. P. 549–562. DOI:10.1007/s11069-013-0926-1
  • Wyss M., Nekrasova A., Kossobokov V. Errors in expected human losses due to incorrect seismic hazard estimates // Natural Hazards. 2012. V. 62. No. 3. P. 927–935. DOI:10.1007/s11069-012-0125-5
  • Kossobokov V., Nekrasova A.K. Global Seismic Hazard Assessment Program (GSHAP) Maps Are Misleading // Problems of Engineering Seismology. 2011. V. 38. No. 1. P. 65–76. (in Russian).
  • Nekrasova A. Unified Scaling Law for Earthquakes: Implications for seismic active word zones. (Ph. D thesis). M.V. Lomonosov Moscow State University, 2008. P. 1–13. (in Russian).
  • Nekrasova A., Kossobokov V. General Law of Similarity for Earthquakes: Evidence from the Baikal Region // Doklady Earth Sciences. 2006. V. 407A. No. 3. P. 484–485.
  • Nekrasova A., Kossobokov V. Temporal variation of the coefficients of Unified scaling law for earthquakes on the east of Honshu island (Japan) // Doklady Earth Sciences. 2005. V. 405A. No. 9. P. 1352–1355.
  • Molchan G., Kronrod T., Nekrasova A. Immediate foreshocks: time variation of the b-value // Physics of the Earth and Planetary Interiors. 1999. V. 111. P. 229–240.
  • Molchan G., Kronrod T., Dmitrieva O., Nekrasova A. Hazard-oriented multiscale seismicity model: Italy // Computational seismology and geodynamics. 1996. V. 4. P. 138–156.
  • Kronrod T., Nekrasova A. Seismic risk for the world’s major cities: Estimates verified // Computational seismology and geodynamics. 1996. V. 4. P. 157–165.

Certificates of intellectual property registration

  • Nekrasova A., Kossobokov V. (2026). The Deterministic Global Seismic Hazard (DGSH99) Map, ISC Seismological Dataset Repository, DOI:10.31905/KAK71P4F
  • Nekrasova A.K., Kossobokov V.G. (2019). Unified Scaling Law for Earthquakes: Global Map of Parameters, ISC’s Seismological Dataset Repository. DOI:10.31905/XT753V44
  • Soloviev A.A., Soloviev A.A., Gvishiani A.D., Kosobokov V.G., Nekrasova A.K., Gorshkov A.I., Nikolova Yu.I., Dzeboev B.A., Nikolov B P. (2019). GIS-oriented database for multicriteria seismic hazard assessment Certificate of State Registration of Databases No. 2019621466 of August 16, 2019.
  • Soloviev A.A., Soloviev A.A., Gvishiani A.D., Kosobokov V.G., Nekrasova A.K., Gorshkov A.I., Nikolova Yu.I., Dzeboev B.A., Nikolov B.P. (2019). Certificate of state registration of the Toolbox computer program “Multi-criteria seismic hazard assessment” for working in the ArcGIS environment Certificate No. 2019619517 of July 18, 2019.
  • Nekrasova A.K. (2013). The program for evaluating the coefficients of the General Law of Similarity for Earthquakes (SCE). Certificate on state registration of a computer program No. 2013618171. Of September 2, 2013.