- The Assisi earthquake (1997.09.26, 43.08°N, 12.81°E, Mmax=6.4) which was missed in M6.0+ test falls inside the alarm area of M5.5+ test.
- The catalogue completeness in space and time progresses, the M8S algorithm operates with a variable number of CI’s and, as a consequence, the area of prediction changes in time. At the present, the level of completeness of the catalogue has practically stabilised.
- The M8S algorithm predictions refer to seismogenic areas only and by no means imply equal probability of strong earthquakes in seismic and aseismic territories inside circles of investigation.
The space union of all circles (grey and yellow) is the area analysed by the M8S algorithm. Yellow indicate the area of increased probability of M6.0+ earthquakes. The Bovec earthquake has the following parameters: Date 1998.04.12, latitude 46.24°N, longitude 13.65°E, depth 10 km, magnitude Mmax=6.0. Its epicentre is inside the area of alarm. On the contrary, the Assisi earthquake with the date 1997.09.26, latitude 43.08°N, longitude 12.81°E, depth 10 km, and magnitude Mmax=6.4 falls outside the alarm area. Notes: